Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiArmenia Parliamentary Election Winner
Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner
Civil Contract 90%
Armenia Alliance 6%
Heritage 2.4%
Prosperous Armenia 2.3%
$103,314 Hac.
$103,314 Hac.
7 Haz 2026
Civil Contract
90%
Armenia Alliance
6%
Heritage
2%
Prosperous Armenia
2%
Armenian National Congress
2%
Orinats Yerkir
1%
Bright Armenia
1%
I Have Honor Alliance
1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
<1%
Civil Contract 90%
Armenia Alliance 6%
Heritage 2.4%
Prosperous Armenia 2.3%
$103,314 Hac.
$103,314 Hac.
7 Haz 2026
Civil Contract
$41,427 Hac.
90%
Armenia Alliance
$49,639 Hac.
6%
Heritage
$1,761 Hac.
2%
Prosperous Armenia
$1,554 Hac.
2%
Armenian National Congress
$2,006 Hac.
2%
Orinats Yerkir
$1,807 Hac.
1%
Bright Armenia
$2,248 Hac.
1%
I Have Honor Alliance
$1,405 Hac.
1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
$1,468 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Hacim
$103,314Bitiş Tarihi
7 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Hacim
$103,314Bitiş Tarihi
7 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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