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Siyaset·Küresel Seçimler

Farrer By - Selection Kazananı

Market icon
Siyaset·Küresel Seçimler

Farrer By - Selection Kazananı

Michelle Milthorpe 56%

David Farley 42%

Raissa Butkowski 3.0%

Rebecca Scriven 1.3%

Polymarket

$139,000 Hac.

Michelle Milthorpe 56%

David Farley 42%

Raissa Butkowski 3.0%

Rebecca Scriven 1.3%

Polymarket

$139,000 Hac.

Michelle Milthorpe, Avustralya Temsilciler Meclisi'nde Farrer sandalyesi için yapılan ara seçimi kazanacak mı? icon

Michelle Milthorpe

$26,815 Hac.

56%

David Farley, Avustralya Temsilciler Meclisi'nde Farrer sandalyesi için yapılan ara seçimi kazanacak mı? icon

David Farley

$57 Hac.

42%

Raissa Butkowski, Avustralya Temsilciler Meclisi'nde Farrer sandalyesi için yapılan ara seçimi kazanacak mı? icon

Raissa Butkowski

$9 Hac.

3%

Rebecca Scriven, Avustralya Temsilciler Meclisi'nde Farrer sandalyesi için yapılan ara seçimi kazanacak mı? icon

Rebecca Scriven

$93,098 Hac.

1%

Helen Dalton, Avustralya Temsilciler Meclisi'nde Farrer sandalyesi için yapılan ara seçimi kazanacak mı? icon

Helen Dalton

$19,021 Hac.

1%

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).Independent Michelle Milthorpe leads trader consensus at 56.5% for the Farrer by-election on May 9, buoyed by endorsements from Bob Katter and Climate 200 amid a splintered conservative field in the safe Liberal seat vacated by Sussan Ley's February resignation. One Nation's David Farley trails at 40.5% after recent backlash over social media posts smearing a local city's crime rate and attacking Milthorpe, leading Family First to snub preferences—a pivotal factor in preferential voting. Early March polls showed One Nation ahead on primaries (28.7% vs. Milthorpe's 23.3%), but candidate controversies and Liberal (Raissa Butkowski at 3%) fragmentation have shifted sentiment toward the 2025 runner-up. Murray-Darling Basin water buybacks dominate debate, with a Charles Sturt University candidates' forum set for April 30.

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Hacim
$139,000
Bitiş Tarihi
9 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).Independent Michelle Milthorpe leads trader consensus at 56.5% for the Farrer by-election on May 9, buoyed by endorsements from Bob Katter and Climate 200 amid a splintered conservative field in the safe Liberal seat vacated by Sussan Ley's February resignation. One Nation's David Farley trails at 40.5% after recent backlash over social media posts smearing a local city's crime rate and attacking Milthorpe, leading Family First to snub preferences—a pivotal factor in preferential voting. Early March polls showed One Nation ahead on primaries (28.7% vs. Milthorpe's 23.3%), but candidate controversies and Liberal (Raissa Butkowski at 3%) fragmentation have shifted sentiment toward the 2025 runner-up. Murray-Darling Basin water buybacks dominate debate, with a Charles Sturt University candidates' forum set for April 30.

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Hacim
$139,000
Bitiş Tarihi
9 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Farrer By - Selection Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 56% ile "Michelle Milthorpe", ardından 42% ile "David Farley" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 56¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 56% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Farrer By - Selection Kazananı" toplam $139K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Feb 17, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Farrer By - Selection Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Farrer By - Selection Kazananı" için mevcut favori 56% ile "Michelle Milthorpe"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 56% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 42% ile "David Farley"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Farrer By - Selection Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.