Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15–16°C (each at 30% implied probability) for London's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a 15°C high under largely dry conditions with bright or sunny spells, closely matched by BBC Weather's 16°C outlook amid sunny intervals and a gentle northerly breeze. This positioning reflects cooling from early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens, now moderated by settled upper-air patterns favoring mild spring norms (historical April highs average 13–14°C). Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover and isolated shower risk (10% chance), potentially varying peaks by 1°C, with wind gusts to 18 mph suppressing feels-like temperatures. Updated Met Office and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs on April 18 could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi19 Nisan'da Londra'da en yüksek sıcaklık?
19 Nisan'da Londra'da en yüksek sıcaklık?
15°C 37%
16°C 30%
14°C 15%
17°C 12%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
9°C veya altında
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
32%
16°C
30%
17°C
12%
18°C
6%
19°C veya daha yüksek
5%
15°C 37%
16°C 30%
14°C 15%
17°C 12%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
9°C veya altında
$687 Hac.
<1%
10°C
$565 Hac.
1%
11°C
$624 Hac.
1%
12°C
$636 Hac.
2%
13°C
$678 Hac.
6%
14°C
$145 Hac.
15%
15°C
$141 Hac.
32%
16°C
$86 Hac.
30%
17°C
$362 Hac.
12%
18°C
$491 Hac.
6%
19°C veya daha yüksek
$443 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15–16°C (each at 30% implied probability) for London's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a 15°C high under largely dry conditions with bright or sunny spells, closely matched by BBC Weather's 16°C outlook amid sunny intervals and a gentle northerly breeze. This positioning reflects cooling from early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens, now moderated by settled upper-air patterns favoring mild spring norms (historical April highs average 13–14°C). Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover and isolated shower risk (10% chance), potentially varying peaks by 1°C, with wind gusts to 18 mph suppressing feels-like temperatures. Updated Met Office and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs on April 18 could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Hacim
$4,835Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15–16°C (each at 30% implied probability) for London's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a 15°C high under largely dry conditions with bright or sunny spells, closely matched by BBC Weather's 16°C outlook amid sunny intervals and a gentle northerly breeze. This positioning reflects cooling from early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens, now moderated by settled upper-air patterns favoring mild spring norms (historical April highs average 13–14°C). Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover and isolated shower risk (10% chance), potentially varying peaks by 1°C, with wind gusts to 18 mph suppressing feels-like temperatures. Updated Met Office and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs on April 18 could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$4,835Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15–16°C (each at 30% implied probability) for London's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a 15°C high under largely dry conditions with bright or sunny spells, closely matched by BBC Weather's 16°C outlook amid sunny intervals and a gentle northerly breeze. This positioning reflects cooling from early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens, now moderated by settled upper-air patterns favoring mild spring norms (historical April highs average 13–14°C). Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover and isolated shower risk (10% chance), potentially varying peaks by 1°C, with wind gusts to 18 mph suppressing feels-like temperatures. Updated Met Office and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs on April 18 could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular