Incumbent Republican Rep. Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 10, 2026, primary in solidly Republican Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, solidifying his path to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep-red history—Guest won by wide margins in prior cycles amid a partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by double digits—bolstered by his incumbency advantage and lack of serious challengers. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandal, Guest's health issues, or a massive Democratic national wave, though historical midterm patterns and local polling trends make such upsets rare.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMS-03 House Election Winner
MS-03 House Election Winner
$23,206 Hac.
$23,206 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$23,206 Hac.
$23,206 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
$4,439 Hac.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,766 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 10, 2026, primary in solidly Republican Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, solidifying his path to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep-red history—Guest won by wide margins in prior cycles amid a partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by double digits—bolstered by his incumbency advantage and lack of serious challengers. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandal, Guest's health issues, or a massive Democratic national wave, though historical midterm patterns and local polling trends make such upsets rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Hacim
$23,206Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 10, 2026, primary in solidly Republican Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, solidifying his path to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep-red history—Guest won by wide margins in prior cycles amid a partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by double digits—bolstered by his incumbency advantage and lack of serious challengers. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandal, Guest's health issues, or a massive Democratic national wave, though historical midterm patterns and local polling trends make such upsets rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$23,206Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 10, 2026, primary in solidly Republican Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, solidifying his path to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep-red history—Guest won by wide margins in prior cycles amid a partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by double digits—bolstered by his incumbency advantage and lack of serious challengers. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandal, Guest's health issues, or a massive Democratic national wave, though historical midterm patterns and local polling trends make such upsets rare.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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