Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming operations before 2027, anchored by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage and Germany's official rejection of revival talks. Despite Russian claims in September 2025 that an intact section could activate quickly and earlier 2025 speculation around US-Russia discussions or a CDU proposal, Berlin confirmed no negotiations, citing missing certification, and a key Danish repair permit expired that month. EU sanctions on Russian gas persist amid the Ukraine conflict, with diversification to LNG and renewables reducing reliance; ongoing sabotage probes, including a November 2025 Italian extradition approval, add legal hurdles. Only a dramatic diplomatic thaw, like sanctions relief, could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
YENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming operations before 2027, anchored by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage and Germany's official rejection of revival talks. Despite Russian claims in September 2025 that an intact section could activate quickly and earlier 2025 speculation around US-Russia discussions or a CDU proposal, Berlin confirmed no negotiations, citing missing certification, and a key Danish repair permit expired that month. EU sanctions on Russian gas persist amid the Ukraine conflict, with diversification to LNG and renewables reducing reliance; ongoing sabotage probes, including a November 2025 Italian extradition approval, add legal hurdles. Only a dramatic diplomatic thaw, like sanctions relief, could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Hacim
$7,637Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming operations before 2027, anchored by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage and Germany's official rejection of revival talks. Despite Russian claims in September 2025 that an intact section could activate quickly and earlier 2025 speculation around US-Russia discussions or a CDU proposal, Berlin confirmed no negotiations, citing missing certification, and a key Danish repair permit expired that month. EU sanctions on Russian gas persist amid the Ukraine conflict, with diversification to LNG and renewables reducing reliance; ongoing sabotage probes, including a November 2025 Italian extradition approval, add legal hurdles. Only a dramatic diplomatic thaw, like sanctions relief, could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$7,637Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming operations before 2027, anchored by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage and Germany's official rejection of revival talks. Despite Russian claims in September 2025 that an intact section could activate quickly and earlier 2025 speculation around US-Russia discussions or a CDU proposal, Berlin confirmed no negotiations, citing missing certification, and a key Danish repair permit expired that month. EU sanctions on Russian gas persist amid the Ukraine conflict, with diversification to LNG and renewables reducing reliance; ongoing sabotage probes, including a November 2025 Italian extradition approval, add legal hurdles. Only a dramatic diplomatic thaw, like sanctions relief, could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular