Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads a crowded Democratic primary field in the deeply blue NY-13 (Cook PVI D+32), bolstered by strong fundraising ($1.1M raised) and endorsements from figures like Nydia Velázquez and AIPAC, with the June 23 primary unlikely to produce a weakened nominee. The April 6 filing deadline passed without any Republican candidates declared, per Ballotpedia and forecasters rating the race Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects historical margins like Espaillat's 83.5% in 2024 and absent GOP opposition. Realistic challenges include a post-deadline Republican write-in surge, Dem nominee scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave shifting turnout in this Upper Manhattan stronghold before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$20,750 Hac.
$20,750 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$20,750 Hac.
$20,750 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$9,483 Hac.
94%
Republican Party
$11,267 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads a crowded Democratic primary field in the deeply blue NY-13 (Cook PVI D+32), bolstered by strong fundraising ($1.1M raised) and endorsements from figures like Nydia Velázquez and AIPAC, with the June 23 primary unlikely to produce a weakened nominee. The April 6 filing deadline passed without any Republican candidates declared, per Ballotpedia and forecasters rating the race Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects historical margins like Espaillat's 83.5% in 2024 and absent GOP opposition. Realistic challenges include a post-deadline Republican write-in surge, Dem nominee scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave shifting turnout in this Upper Manhattan stronghold before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Hacim
$20,750Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads a crowded Democratic primary field in the deeply blue NY-13 (Cook PVI D+32), bolstered by strong fundraising ($1.1M raised) and endorsements from figures like Nydia Velázquez and AIPAC, with the June 23 primary unlikely to produce a weakened nominee. The April 6 filing deadline passed without any Republican candidates declared, per Ballotpedia and forecasters rating the race Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects historical margins like Espaillat's 83.5% in 2024 and absent GOP opposition. Realistic challenges include a post-deadline Republican write-in surge, Dem nominee scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave shifting turnout in this Upper Manhattan stronghold before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$20,750Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads a crowded Democratic primary field in the deeply blue NY-13 (Cook PVI D+32), bolstered by strong fundraising ($1.1M raised) and endorsements from figures like Nydia Velázquez and AIPAC, with the June 23 primary unlikely to produce a weakened nominee. The April 6 filing deadline passed without any Republican candidates declared, per Ballotpedia and forecasters rating the race Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects historical margins like Espaillat's 83.5% in 2024 and absent GOP opposition. Realistic challenges include a post-deadline Republican write-in surge, Dem nominee scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave shifting turnout in this Upper Manhattan stronghold before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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