In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state Rep. Mark Smith holds a trader consensus edge at 48.5% implied probability, driven by his legislative incumbency advantage and a narrow win in an April 16 straw poll (34% to Alex Pelbath's 29.5%) among Berkeley and Dorchester County GOP members at a candidate forum. Pelbath, a retired Air Force Lt. Col. who piloted the final U.S. evacuation flight from Kabul, trails at 26.5% on his military credentials and Trump-aligned appeal to the conservative base. The crowded field, finalized after March 30 filing deadline, fragments votes behind leaders like Sam McCown (12.5%), with upcoming debates and endorsements poised to influence the closely contested race.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMark Smith 48%
Alex Pelbath 27%
Sam McCown 13%
Jay Byars 6.7%
YENİ
YENİ
9 Haz 2026
Mark Smith
48%
Alex Pelbath
27%
Sam McCown
13%
Jay Byars
7%
Jack Ellison
5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Justin Myers
1%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Dan Brown
<1%
Mark Smith 48%
Alex Pelbath 27%
Sam McCown 13%
Jay Byars 6.7%
YENİ
YENİ
9 Haz 2026
Mark Smith
$1,813 Hac.
48%
Alex Pelbath
$1,452 Hac.
27%
Sam McCown
$1,046 Hac.
13%
Jay Byars
$444 Hac.
7%
Jack Ellison
$504 Hac.
5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
$461 Hac.
4%
Justin Myers
$529 Hac.
1%
Logan Cunningham
$664 Hac.
1%
Dan Brown
$437 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state Rep. Mark Smith holds a trader consensus edge at 48.5% implied probability, driven by his legislative incumbency advantage and a narrow win in an April 16 straw poll (34% to Alex Pelbath's 29.5%) among Berkeley and Dorchester County GOP members at a candidate forum. Pelbath, a retired Air Force Lt. Col. who piloted the final U.S. evacuation flight from Kabul, trails at 26.5% on his military credentials and Trump-aligned appeal to the conservative base. The crowded field, finalized after March 30 filing deadline, fragments votes behind leaders like Sam McCown (12.5%), with upcoming debates and endorsements poised to influence the closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Hacim
$7,350Bitiş Tarihi
9 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state Rep. Mark Smith holds a trader consensus edge at 48.5% implied probability, driven by his legislative incumbency advantage and a narrow win in an April 16 straw poll (34% to Alex Pelbath's 29.5%) among Berkeley and Dorchester County GOP members at a candidate forum. Pelbath, a retired Air Force Lt. Col. who piloted the final U.S. evacuation flight from Kabul, trails at 26.5% on his military credentials and Trump-aligned appeal to the conservative base. The crowded field, finalized after March 30 filing deadline, fragments votes behind leaders like Sam McCown (12.5%), with upcoming debates and endorsements poised to influence the closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$7,350Bitiş Tarihi
9 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state Rep. Mark Smith holds a trader consensus edge at 48.5% implied probability, driven by his legislative incumbency advantage and a narrow win in an April 16 straw poll (34% to Alex Pelbath's 29.5%) among Berkeley and Dorchester County GOP members at a candidate forum. Pelbath, a retired Air Force Lt. Col. who piloted the final U.S. evacuation flight from Kabul, trails at 26.5% on his military credentials and Trump-aligned appeal to the conservative base. The crowded field, finalized after March 30 filing deadline, fragments votes behind leaders like Sam McCown (12.5%), with upcoming debates and endorsements poised to influence the closely contested race.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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