Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of higher information sector layoffs in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a explosive Q1 surge captured in Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) JOLTS figures—71,000 discharges in January and 55,000 in February alone, doubling late-2025 monthly averages around 30,000–50,000. Tech trackers like TrueUp report 95,000+ jobs cut across 240+ firms year-to-date, a 40% jump from Q1 2025, fueled by AI-driven workforce optimization at Oracle (thousands axed), Snap (16% reduction), Amazon (16,000 corporate roles), and Meta. This momentum, amid heavy AI capital expenditures and restructuring, underpins expectations of exceeding 2025's roughly 246,000 total, with Q1 earnings and upcoming JOLTS data as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 'da Teknoloji İşten Çıkarmaları Artacak mı Azalacak mı?
2026 'da Teknoloji İşten Çıkarmaları Artacak mı Azalacak mı?
Artacak
$22,851 Hac.
$22,851 Hac.
28 Şub 2027
Artacak
$22,851 Hac.
$22,851 Hac.
28 Şub 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of higher information sector layoffs in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a explosive Q1 surge captured in Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) JOLTS figures—71,000 discharges in January and 55,000 in February alone, doubling late-2025 monthly averages around 30,000–50,000. Tech trackers like TrueUp report 95,000+ jobs cut across 240+ firms year-to-date, a 40% jump from Q1 2025, fueled by AI-driven workforce optimization at Oracle (thousands axed), Snap (16% reduction), Amazon (16,000 corporate roles), and Meta. This momentum, amid heavy AI capital expenditures and restructuring, underpins expectations of exceeding 2025's roughly 246,000 total, with Q1 earnings and upcoming JOLTS data as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Hacim
$22,851Bitiş Tarihi
28 Şub 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of higher information sector layoffs in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a explosive Q1 surge captured in Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) JOLTS figures—71,000 discharges in January and 55,000 in February alone, doubling late-2025 monthly averages around 30,000–50,000. Tech trackers like TrueUp report 95,000+ jobs cut across 240+ firms year-to-date, a 40% jump from Q1 2025, fueled by AI-driven workforce optimization at Oracle (thousands axed), Snap (16% reduction), Amazon (16,000 corporate roles), and Meta. This momentum, amid heavy AI capital expenditures and restructuring, underpins expectations of exceeding 2025's roughly 246,000 total, with Q1 earnings and upcoming JOLTS data as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Hacim
$22,851Bitiş Tarihi
28 Şub 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of higher information sector layoffs in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a explosive Q1 surge captured in Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) JOLTS figures—71,000 discharges in January and 55,000 in February alone, doubling late-2025 monthly averages around 30,000–50,000. Tech trackers like TrueUp report 95,000+ jobs cut across 240+ firms year-to-date, a 40% jump from Q1 2025, fueled by AI-driven workforce optimization at Oracle (thousands axed), Snap (16% reduction), Amazon (16,000 corporate roles), and Meta. This momentum, amid heavy AI capital expenditures and restructuring, underpins expectations of exceeding 2025's roughly 246,000 total, with Q1 earnings and upcoming JOLTS data as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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