Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting caution amid the company's aggressive targets exceeding $2 trillion following its early April confidential S-1 filing and merger with xAI, which lifted prior $1.25 trillion tender valuations. Strong Starlink subscriber growth and projected $15-20 billion 2026 revenue from launches underpin optimism, yet sky-high multiples—potentially 100x sales—prompt skepticism versus public space peers like Rocket Lab at $37 billion market cap. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as soon as next week and planned site visits for anchor investors, with an early June roadshow signaling a potential listing soon.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi1,75-2,00T 51%
2,00-2,25T 18%
1,50-1,75T 10.9%
2,25-2,50T 4.8%
$126,807 Hac.
$126,807 Hac.
<1,25T
4%
1,25-1,50T
17%
1,50-1,75T
9%
1,75-2,00T
56%
2,00-2,25T
10%
2,25-2,50T
5%
2,50T+
3%
1,75-2,00T 51%
2,00-2,25T 18%
1,50-1,75T 10.9%
2,25-2,50T 4.8%
$126,807 Hac.
$126,807 Hac.
<1,25T
$58,779 Hac.
4%
1,25-1,50T
$15,850 Hac.
17%
1,50-1,75T
$8,028 Hac.
9%
1,75-2,00T
$10,959 Hac.
56%
2,00-2,25T
$13,142 Hac.
10%
2,25-2,50T
$9,747 Hac.
5%
2,50T+
$10,301 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting caution amid the company's aggressive targets exceeding $2 trillion following its early April confidential S-1 filing and merger with xAI, which lifted prior $1.25 trillion tender valuations. Strong Starlink subscriber growth and projected $15-20 billion 2026 revenue from launches underpin optimism, yet sky-high multiples—potentially 100x sales—prompt skepticism versus public space peers like Rocket Lab at $37 billion market cap. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as soon as next week and planned site visits for anchor investors, with an early June roadshow signaling a potential listing soon.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Hacim
$126,807Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting caution amid the company's aggressive targets exceeding $2 trillion following its early April confidential S-1 filing and merger with xAI, which lifted prior $1.25 trillion tender valuations. Strong Starlink subscriber growth and projected $15-20 billion 2026 revenue from launches underpin optimism, yet sky-high multiples—potentially 100x sales—prompt skepticism versus public space peers like Rocket Lab at $37 billion market cap. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as soon as next week and planned site visits for anchor investors, with an early June roadshow signaling a potential listing soon.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$126,807Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting caution amid the company's aggressive targets exceeding $2 trillion following its early April confidential S-1 filing and merger with xAI, which lifted prior $1.25 trillion tender valuations. Strong Starlink subscriber growth and projected $15-20 billion 2026 revenue from launches underpin optimism, yet sky-high multiples—potentially 100x sales—prompt skepticism versus public space peers like Rocket Lab at $37 billion market cap. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as soon as next week and planned site visits for anchor investors, with an early June roadshow signaling a potential listing soon.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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