SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 93.7% implied probability of it IPOing before OpenAI, targeting a late-May prospectus and early-June roadshow for a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—bolstered by Starlink's surging revenue and its February merger with xAI for orbital AI data centers. OpenAI trails, with CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 2026 listing clashing against CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timelines amid $121 billion compute spending plans through 2028. Realistic challenges include SpaceX regulatory delays or market volatility stalling its process, or OpenAI accelerating via surprise filing, though prediction markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction on SpaceX's lead.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiSpaceX
$69,667 Hac.
$69,667 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
SpaceX
$69,667 Hac.
$69,667 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 93.7% implied probability of it IPOing before OpenAI, targeting a late-May prospectus and early-June roadshow for a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—bolstered by Starlink's surging revenue and its February merger with xAI for orbital AI data centers. OpenAI trails, with CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 2026 listing clashing against CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timelines amid $121 billion compute spending plans through 2028. Realistic challenges include SpaceX regulatory delays or market volatility stalling its process, or OpenAI accelerating via surprise filing, though prediction markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction on SpaceX's lead.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Hacim
$69,667Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 93.7% implied probability of it IPOing before OpenAI, targeting a late-May prospectus and early-June roadshow for a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—bolstered by Starlink's surging revenue and its February merger with xAI for orbital AI data centers. OpenAI trails, with CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 2026 listing clashing against CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timelines amid $121 billion compute spending plans through 2028. Realistic challenges include SpaceX regulatory delays or market volatility stalling its process, or OpenAI accelerating via surprise filing, though prediction markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction on SpaceX's lead.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$69,667Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 93.7% implied probability of it IPOing before OpenAI, targeting a late-May prospectus and early-June roadshow for a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—bolstered by Starlink's surging revenue and its February merger with xAI for orbital AI data centers. OpenAI trails, with CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 2026 listing clashing against CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timelines amid $121 billion compute spending plans through 2028. Realistic challenges include SpaceX regulatory delays or market volatility stalling its process, or OpenAI accelerating via surprise filing, though prediction markets reflect skin-in-the-game conviction on SpaceX's lead.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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