Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential SEC filing on January 6, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters targeting a March debut that never materialized. No public S-1 has surfaced in the ensuing three months, amid secondary-market valuations of $7–10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021—reflecting monetization challenges despite $725 million annual recurring revenue estimates for 2024 and user growth. The 8.3% odds on sub-$15 billion underscore profitability concerns in a cautious tech IPO environment; a public filing remains the key catalyst.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok 84%
<15B 8.4%
30M+ 1.8%
15–20B 1.5%
$850,082 Hac.
$850,082 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<15B
8%
15–20B
2%
20–25B
1%
25–30B
1%
30M+
2%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok
84%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok 84%
<15B 8.4%
30M+ 1.8%
15–20B 1.5%
$850,082 Hac.
$850,082 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<15B
$294,998 Hac.
8%
15–20B
$105,941 Hac.
2%
20–25B
$72,054 Hac.
1%
25–30B
$99,886 Hac.
1%
30M+
$90,529 Hac.
2%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok
$186,673 Hac.
84%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential SEC filing on January 6, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters targeting a March debut that never materialized. No public S-1 has surfaced in the ensuing three months, amid secondary-market valuations of $7–10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021—reflecting monetization challenges despite $725 million annual recurring revenue estimates for 2024 and user growth. The 8.3% odds on sub-$15 billion underscore profitability concerns in a cautious tech IPO environment; a public filing remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Hacim
$850,082Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential SEC filing on January 6, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters targeting a March debut that never materialized. No public S-1 has surfaced in the ensuing three months, amid secondary-market valuations of $7–10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021—reflecting monetization challenges despite $725 million annual recurring revenue estimates for 2024 and user growth. The 8.3% odds on sub-$15 billion underscore profitability concerns in a cautious tech IPO environment; a public filing remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$850,082Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential SEC filing on January 6, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters targeting a March debut that never materialized. No public S-1 has surfaced in the ensuing three months, amid secondary-market valuations of $7–10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021—reflecting monetization challenges despite $725 million annual recurring revenue estimates for 2024 and user growth. The 8.3% odds on sub-$15 billion underscore profitability concerns in a cautious tech IPO environment; a public filing remains the key catalyst.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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