Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.6% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement four months into the year, despite persistent speculation. The data lakehouse leader, fueling enterprise AI analytics workloads, bolstered its war chest with a $5 billion equity raise at a $134 billion valuation in February—up sharply from prior rounds—and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile software sector sentiment. Typical IPO timelines require months post-filing for roadshows and pricing, leaving scant runway. A surprise confidential S-1 submission or stabilizing tech valuations could challenge this positioning, echoing delays seen in prior mega-unicorn debuts like Snowflake.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiVeri Tabanları IPO Kapanış Piyasa Değeri
Veri Tabanları IPO Kapanış Piyasa Değeri
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok 91.3%
250B+ 2.3%
125–150B 1.9%
175–200 Milyar 1.9%
$371,514 Hac.
$371,514 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<100B
1%
100–125B
1%
125–150B
2%
150–175B
1%
175–200 Milyar
2%
200–250 Milyar Dolar
1%
250B+
2%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok
91%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok 91.3%
250B+ 2.3%
125–150B 1.9%
175–200 Milyar 1.9%
$371,514 Hac.
$371,514 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<100B
$32,443 Hac.
1%
100–125B
$38,710 Hac.
1%
125–150B
$25,372 Hac.
2%
150–175B
$59,041 Hac.
1%
175–200 Milyar
$57,416 Hac.
2%
200–250 Milyar Dolar
$19,378 Hac.
1%
250B+
$125,380 Hac.
2%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok
$13,774 Hac.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.6% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement four months into the year, despite persistent speculation. The data lakehouse leader, fueling enterprise AI analytics workloads, bolstered its war chest with a $5 billion equity raise at a $134 billion valuation in February—up sharply from prior rounds—and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile software sector sentiment. Typical IPO timelines require months post-filing for roadshows and pricing, leaving scant runway. A surprise confidential S-1 submission or stabilizing tech valuations could challenge this positioning, echoing delays seen in prior mega-unicorn debuts like Snowflake.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Hacim
$371,514Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.6% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement four months into the year, despite persistent speculation. The data lakehouse leader, fueling enterprise AI analytics workloads, bolstered its war chest with a $5 billion equity raise at a $134 billion valuation in February—up sharply from prior rounds—and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile software sector sentiment. Typical IPO timelines require months post-filing for roadshows and pricing, leaving scant runway. A surprise confidential S-1 submission or stabilizing tech valuations could challenge this positioning, echoing delays seen in prior mega-unicorn debuts like Snowflake.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$371,514Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.6% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement four months into the year, despite persistent speculation. The data lakehouse leader, fueling enterprise AI analytics workloads, bolstered its war chest with a $5 billion equity raise at a $134 billion valuation in February—up sharply from prior rounds—and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile software sector sentiment. Typical IPO timelines require months post-filing for roadshows and pricing, leaving scant runway. A surprise confidential S-1 submission or stabilizing tech valuations could challenge this positioning, echoing delays seen in prior mega-unicorn debuts like Snowflake.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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