SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a blockbuster listing, with market-implied odds favoring a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 45.5%, reflecting reports of a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink satellite internet revenues and Starship reusable launch milestones. Recent tender offers valued the company at $800 billion, doubling prior marks on robust demand for its dominant orbital deployment and broadband constellation capabilities, outpacing rivals like Blue Origin. Lower brackets trail due to execution risks in the mega-IPO process, but prospectus release in late May and June roadshow loom as key catalysts that could solidify or shift sentiment before a potential July debut.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2,0T+ 46%
1,8T–2,0T 18%
1,6T–1,8T 13.9%
1,4T–1,6T 7.8%
$747,884 Hac.
$747,884 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
2028'den önce halka arz yok
3%
<1,0T
4%
1,0T–1,2T
3%
1,2T–1,4T
4%
1,4T–1,6T
8%
1,6T–1,8T
14%
1,8T–2,0T
18%
2,0T+
46%
2,0T+ 46%
1,8T–2,0T 18%
1,6T–1,8T 13.9%
1,4T–1,6T 7.8%
$747,884 Hac.
$747,884 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
2028'den önce halka arz yok
$153,560 Hac.
3%
<1,0T
$51,780 Hac.
4%
1,0T–1,2T
$31,545 Hac.
3%
1,2T–1,4T
$53,571 Hac.
4%
1,4T–1,6T
$101,517 Hac.
8%
1,6T–1,8T
$102,660 Hac.
14%
1,8T–2,0T
$83,489 Hac.
18%
2,0T+
$169,762 Hac.
46%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a blockbuster listing, with market-implied odds favoring a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 45.5%, reflecting reports of a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink satellite internet revenues and Starship reusable launch milestones. Recent tender offers valued the company at $800 billion, doubling prior marks on robust demand for its dominant orbital deployment and broadband constellation capabilities, outpacing rivals like Blue Origin. Lower brackets trail due to execution risks in the mega-IPO process, but prospectus release in late May and June roadshow loom as key catalysts that could solidify or shift sentiment before a potential July debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Hacim
$747,884Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a blockbuster listing, with market-implied odds favoring a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 45.5%, reflecting reports of a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink satellite internet revenues and Starship reusable launch milestones. Recent tender offers valued the company at $800 billion, doubling prior marks on robust demand for its dominant orbital deployment and broadband constellation capabilities, outpacing rivals like Blue Origin. Lower brackets trail due to execution risks in the mega-IPO process, but prospectus release in late May and June roadshow loom as key catalysts that could solidify or shift sentiment before a potential July debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$747,884Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a blockbuster listing, with market-implied odds favoring a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 45.5%, reflecting reports of a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation amid surging Starlink satellite internet revenues and Starship reusable launch milestones. Recent tender offers valued the company at $800 billion, doubling prior marks on robust demand for its dominant orbital deployment and broadband constellation capabilities, outpacing rivals like Blue Origin. Lower brackets trail due to execution risks in the mega-IPO process, but prospectus release in late May and June roadshow loom as key catalysts that could solidify or shift sentiment before a potential July debut.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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