xAI's rapid iteration on Grok 4.x models has driven recent trader optimism, with Grok 4.20 beta claiming top spots on non-hallucination (78%), instruction-following (81%), and multi-agent benchmarks in March-April 2026, underscoring advances in reasoning and reliability. Yet, Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—featuring unsolved research-level math problems across tiers 1-4—remains a tough hurdle, where Grok 4 scored just 12-14% in July 2025 evaluations, far behind GPT-5.4 Pro's record 50% on tiers 1-3 and 38% on tier 4 set in early March. With Grok 5's 7-trillion-parameter training on the Colossus supercluster underway, traders eye a potential leap by June 30, tempered by scaling uncertainties and OpenAI's lead in frontier math capabilities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$19,331 Hac.
28 Şub 2026
25%+
54%
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54%
40%+
62%
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23%
$19,331 Hac.
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$3,678 Hac.
54%
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$12,605 Hac.
54%
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$2,898 Hac.
62%
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$149 Hac.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's rapid iteration on Grok 4.x models has driven recent trader optimism, with Grok 4.20 beta claiming top spots on non-hallucination (78%), instruction-following (81%), and multi-agent benchmarks in March-April 2026, underscoring advances in reasoning and reliability. Yet, Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—featuring unsolved research-level math problems across tiers 1-4—remains a tough hurdle, where Grok 4 scored just 12-14% in July 2025 evaluations, far behind GPT-5.4 Pro's record 50% on tiers 1-3 and 38% on tier 4 set in early March. With Grok 5's 7-trillion-parameter training on the Colossus supercluster underway, traders eye a potential leap by June 30, tempered by scaling uncertainties and OpenAI's lead in frontier math capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Hacim
$19,331Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's rapid iteration on Grok 4.x models has driven recent trader optimism, with Grok 4.20 beta claiming top spots on non-hallucination (78%), instruction-following (81%), and multi-agent benchmarks in March-April 2026, underscoring advances in reasoning and reliability. Yet, Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—featuring unsolved research-level math problems across tiers 1-4—remains a tough hurdle, where Grok 4 scored just 12-14% in July 2025 evaluations, far behind GPT-5.4 Pro's record 50% on tiers 1-3 and 38% on tier 4 set in early March. With Grok 5's 7-trillion-parameter training on the Colossus supercluster underway, traders eye a potential leap by June 30, tempered by scaling uncertainties and OpenAI's lead in frontier math capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$19,331Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's rapid iteration on Grok 4.x models has driven recent trader optimism, with Grok 4.20 beta claiming top spots on non-hallucination (78%), instruction-following (81%), and multi-agent benchmarks in March-April 2026, underscoring advances in reasoning and reliability. Yet, Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—featuring unsolved research-level math problems across tiers 1-4—remains a tough hurdle, where Grok 4 scored just 12-14% in July 2025 evaluations, far behind GPT-5.4 Pro's record 50% on tiers 1-3 and 38% on tier 4 set in early March. With Grok 5's 7-trillion-parameter training on the Colossus supercluster underway, traders eye a potential leap by June 30, tempered by scaling uncertainties and OpenAI's lead in frontier math capabilities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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