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Siyaset·Trump

Epstein Adası'nı kim ziyaret etti?

Market icon
Siyaset·Trump

Epstein Adası'nı kim ziyaret etti?

$1,752,879 Hac.

30 Haz 2026
Polymarket

$1,752,879 Hac.

Polymarket

Steven Tisch

$5,005 Hac.

16%

Deepak Chopra

$13,333 Hac.

11%

Steve Bannon

$59,777 Hac.

11%

Woody Allen

$14,810 Hac.

11%

Noam Chomsky

$26,230 Hac.

8%

Kevin Spacey

$32,418 Hac.

7%

Bill Gates

$110,741 Hac.

6%

Donald Trump

$140,414 Hac.

5%

Bill Clinton

$276,334 Hac.

5%

Harvey Weinstein

$20,017 Hac.

5%

Bill Cosby

$12,635 Hac.

4%

Jay-Z

$580,499 Hac.

3%

Michael Jackson

$158,082 Hac.

3%

Peter Attia

$7,680 Hac.

3%

Hillary Clinton

$44,455 Hac.

3%

Elon Musk

$83,458 Hac.

2%

Marco Rubio

$38,686 Hac.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for confirmed visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, with Steven Tisch leading at around 15-18% implied odds for Yes resolution by June 30, 2026, followed by Deepak Chopra, Steve Bannon, Kevin Spacey, and Woody Allen near 11%, amid high trading volume exceeding $1.7 million. This stems from the DOJ's January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which included emails referencing planned trips and contacts for these figures but no new flight logs, photographs, or sworn testimony verifying physical presence. Recent House Oversight Committee tensions, including former Attorney General Pam Bondi's refusal to comply with a subpoena on file handling as of April 15, underscore ongoing congressional scrutiny that could yield further disclosures, though no breakthroughs have shifted odds significantly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$1,752,879
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for confirmed visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, with Steven Tisch leading at around 15-18% implied odds for Yes resolution by June 30, 2026, followed by Deepak Chopra, Steve Bannon, Kevin Spacey, and Woody Allen near 11%, amid high trading volume exceeding $1.7 million. This stems from the DOJ's January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which included emails referencing planned trips and contacts for these figures but no new flight logs, photographs, or sworn testimony verifying physical presence. Recent House Oversight Committee tensions, including former Attorney General Pam Bondi's refusal to comply with a subpoena on file handling as of April 15, underscore ongoing congressional scrutiny that could yield further disclosures, though no breakthroughs have shifted odds significantly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$1,752,879
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Epstein Adası'nı kim ziyaret etti?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 18 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 100% ile "Richard Branson", ardından 16% ile "Steven Tisch" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 100¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 100% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Epstein Adası'nı kim ziyaret etti?" toplam $1.8 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Feb 12, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Epstein Adası'nı kim ziyaret etti?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 18 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Epstein Adası'nı kim ziyaret etti?" için mevcut favori 100% ile "Richard Branson"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 100% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 16% ile "Steven Tisch"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Epstein Adası'nı kim ziyaret etti?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.