Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns, with elevated implied probabilities for verbal mentions of frequent targets like California Governor Gavin Newsom (often "Newscum") and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer during public speeches, press conferences, or addresses through April 30. No leading names have appeared in Trump's recorded verbal statements since the April 1 national address on Iran military operations or the April 6 press conference, preserving high odds amid mid-month uncertainty. Recent judicial nominations, including Texas prosecutors on April 2, do not count as they are official announcements rather than spoken references. The April 30 cabinet meeting looms as a key event potentially shifting probabilities via Trump's prepared remarks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWho will Trump name in April?
Who will Trump name in April?
$86,051 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Friedrich / Merz
70%
Bernie
52%
Homan
51%
Massie
65%
Warren / Pocahontas
45%
Paxton
44%
Delcy
44%
Talarico
43%
Oz
43%
Machado
42%
Nicki / Minaj
18%
Bolsonaro
9%
Hillary
45%
Rand Paul
47%
Zohran / Mamdani
37%
Schumer
50%
Kavanaugh
44%
Leavitt
42%
Jensen / Huang
47%
Gianni / Infantino
32%
Elon / Musk
42%
$86,051 Hac.
Friedrich / Merz
$46 Hac.
70%
Bernie
$0 Hac.
52%
Homan
$625 Hac.
51%
Massie
$285 Hac.
65%
Warren / Pocahontas
$120 Hac.
45%
Paxton
$0 Hac.
44%
Delcy
$143 Hac.
44%
Talarico
$8 Hac.
43%
Oz
$0 Hac.
43%
Machado
$0 Hac.
42%
Nicki / Minaj
$53 Hac.
18%
Bolsonaro
$417 Hac.
9%
Hillary
$68 Hac.
45%
Rand Paul
$664 Hac.
47%
Zohran / Mamdani
$52 Hac.
37%
Schumer
$31 Hac.
50%
Kavanaugh
$4 Hac.
44%
Leavitt
$93 Hac.
42%
Jensen / Huang
$43 Hac.
47%
Gianni / Infantino
$707 Hac.
32%
Elon / Musk
$40 Hac.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns, with elevated implied probabilities for verbal mentions of frequent targets like California Governor Gavin Newsom (often "Newscum") and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer during public speeches, press conferences, or addresses through April 30. No leading names have appeared in Trump's recorded verbal statements since the April 1 national address on Iran military operations or the April 6 press conference, preserving high odds amid mid-month uncertainty. Recent judicial nominations, including Texas prosecutors on April 2, do not count as they are official announcements rather than spoken references. The April 30 cabinet meeting looms as a key event potentially shifting probabilities via Trump's prepared remarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Hacim
$86,051Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns, with elevated implied probabilities for verbal mentions of frequent targets like California Governor Gavin Newsom (often "Newscum") and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer during public speeches, press conferences, or addresses through April 30. No leading names have appeared in Trump's recorded verbal statements since the April 1 national address on Iran military operations or the April 6 press conference, preserving high odds amid mid-month uncertainty. Recent judicial nominations, including Texas prosecutors on April 2, do not count as they are official announcements rather than spoken references. The April 30 cabinet meeting looms as a key event potentially shifting probabilities via Trump's prepared remarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Hacim
$86,051Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns, with elevated implied probabilities for verbal mentions of frequent targets like California Governor Gavin Newsom (often "Newscum") and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer during public speeches, press conferences, or addresses through April 30. No leading names have appeared in Trump's recorded verbal statements since the April 1 national address on Iran military operations or the April 6 press conference, preserving high odds amid mid-month uncertainty. Recent judicial nominations, including Texas prosecutors on April 2, do not count as they are official announcements rather than spoken references. The April 30 cabinet meeting looms as a key event potentially shifting probabilities via Trump's prepared remarks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular