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Siyaset·Trump

Trump 2027 'den önce kimi affedecek?

Market icon
Siyaset·Trump

Trump 2027 'den önce kimi affedecek?

$202,415 Hac.

31 Ara 2026
Polymarket

$202,415 Hac.

Polymarket

Matt Gaetz

$0 Hac.

65%

Stefan Brodie

$0 Hac.

62%

Donald Brodie

$0 Hac.

61%

Daniel Penny

$11 Hac.

36%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,206 Hac.

31%

Edward Snowden

$1,755 Hac.

15%

Roger Stone

$0 Hac.

24%

Steve Bannon

$6,140 Hac.

22%

Roger Ver

$0 Hac.

16%

Ryan Salame

$15,172 Hac.

22%

Eric Adams

$76 Hac.

14%

Young Thug

$4,105 Hac.

14%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,001 Hac.

12%

Julian Assange

$1,506 Hac.

10%

Martin Shkreli

$18,442 Hac.

10%

Nicolas Maduro

$5,990 Hac.

10%

Joe Exotic

$330 Hac.

9%

Bob Menendez

$0 Hac.

18%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$35,094 Hac.

8%

Kendisi

$2,458 Hac.

7%

Elon Musk

$49,096 Hac.

7%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$9,641 Hac.

6%

Derek Chauvin

$17,901 Hac.

6%

Do Kwon

$15,890 Hac.

6%

Diddy

$6,554 Hac.

6%

Antoine Massey

$0 Hac.

5%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Hac.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's extensive use of executive clemency since his January 2025 inauguration—over 1,600 pardons and commutations, including a mass January 6 Capitol rioters release and allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows—has traders anticipating more preemptive actions before the December 31, 2026, deadline. Leading implied probabilities favor billionaire brothers Stefan Brodie (70%) and Donald Brodie (61%), convicted of Cuba sanctions violations, due to their recent multimillion-dollar donations to Trump fundraisers and prior Biden-era pardon denial, signaling strong access. Matt Gaetz (51%) reflects ongoing DOJ probes, while Daniel Penny (38%) ties to his high-profile acquittal. Recent April reports of Trump promising mass pardons for Oval Office staff heighten expectations, though outcomes remain uncertain amid political pressures and no fixed schedule.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$202,415
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's extensive use of executive clemency since his January 2025 inauguration—over 1,600 pardons and commutations, including a mass January 6 Capitol rioters release and allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows—has traders anticipating more preemptive actions before the December 31, 2026, deadline. Leading implied probabilities favor billionaire brothers Stefan Brodie (70%) and Donald Brodie (61%), convicted of Cuba sanctions violations, due to their recent multimillion-dollar donations to Trump fundraisers and prior Biden-era pardon denial, signaling strong access. Matt Gaetz (51%) reflects ongoing DOJ probes, while Daniel Penny (38%) ties to his high-profile acquittal. Recent April reports of Trump promising mass pardons for Oval Office staff heighten expectations, though outcomes remain uncertain amid political pressures and no fixed schedule.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$202,415
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Trump 2027 'den önce kimi affedecek?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 27 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 65% ile "Matt Gaetz", ardından 62% ile "Stefan Brodie" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 65¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 65% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Trump 2027 'den önce kimi affedecek?" toplam $202.4K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 18, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Trump 2027 'den önce kimi affedecek?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 27 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Trump 2027 'den önce kimi affedecek?" için mevcut favori 65% ile "Matt Gaetz"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 65% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 62% ile "Stefan Brodie"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Trump 2027 'den önce kimi affedecek?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.