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Trump 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?

Market icon

Trump 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?

Evet

7% olasılık
Polymarket

$431,570 Hac.

Evet

7% olasılık
Polymarket

$431,570 Hac.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 93.5% for President Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, credible reporting, or institutional pressures indicating an imminent departure midway through his second term, which ends in January 2029. Recent developments, including National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 challenging Trump's birthright citizenship executive order, have prompted administration turnover and legal scrutiny but no personal accountability forcing Trump's exit. Impeachment resolutions remain stalled without bipartisan support, while Trump advances priorities like voter fraud crackdowns in Democratic states. Midterm elections in November could shift congressional dynamics, though historical precedent shows low resignation rates absent major scandals or health crises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$431,570
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 93.5% for President Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, credible reporting, or institutional pressures indicating an imminent departure midway through his second term, which ends in January 2029. Recent developments, including National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 challenging Trump's birthright citizenship executive order, have prompted administration turnover and legal scrutiny but no personal accountability forcing Trump's exit. Impeachment resolutions remain stalled without bipartisan support, while Trump advances priorities like voter fraud crackdowns in Democratic states. Midterm elections in November could shift congressional dynamics, though historical precedent shows low resignation rates absent major scandals or health crises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$431,570
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Trump 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 2 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 7% ile "Trump 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?"dir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 7¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 7% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Trump 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?" toplam $431.6K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Jul 25, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Trump 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 2 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

Bu tamamen açık bir piyasa. "Trump 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?" için mevcut lider yalnızca 7% ile "Trump 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?"dir. Hiçbir sonuç güçlü bir çoğunluk elde edemediğinden, yatırımcılar bunu oldukça belirsiz olarak görüyor ve bu benzersiz işlem fırsatları sunabilir. Bu oranlar gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu yüzden olasılıkların nasıl geliştiğini izlemek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Trump 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar istifa edecek mi?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.