Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 14%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 14%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
$110 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$110 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$110 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$260 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$403 Обс.
1%
21°C
$132 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$132 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$382 Обс.
1%
24°C
$382 Обс.
1%
25°C
$449 Обс.
14%
26°C or higher
$843 Обс.
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,312Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,312Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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