Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 33°C in Lucknow on September 12, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating. Easterly winds and high humidity further moderate daytime peaks, consistent with September climatology where active monsoon phases often cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Observations from Lucknow-Amausi Airport and surrounding stations show recent daily maxima of 32–34.5°C amid similar conditions. Market-implied odds favor 33°C as the mode, with 34°C as a plausible upside if convection remains limited, while lower or higher extremes appear unlikely given current steering patterns and model agreement. Traders will monitor real-time IMD updates and hourly trends through the afternoon for any late intensification or clearing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
33°C 67%
34°C 24%
32°C 9%
36°C or higher 3.0%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
67%
34°C
24%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 67%
34°C 24%
32°C 9%
36°C or higher 3.0%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
67%
34°C
24%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 33°C in Lucknow on September 12, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating. Easterly winds and high humidity further moderate daytime peaks, consistent with September climatology where active monsoon phases often cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Observations from Lucknow-Amausi Airport and surrounding stations show recent daily maxima of 32–34.5°C amid similar conditions. Market-implied odds favor 33°C as the mode, with 34°C as a plausible upside if convection remains limited, while lower or higher extremes appear unlikely given current steering patterns and model agreement. Traders will monitor real-time IMD updates and hourly trends through the afternoon for any late intensification or clearing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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