Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of strong solar insolation, clear skies, and light westerly flow moderated by coastal sea breezes. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 33°C at 53% implied probability, with 32°C at 26%, reflecting traders’ assessment of small daytime heating variations that could push the daily maximum across the threshold. No significant atmospheric shifts, such as Saharan dust intrusions or frontal passages, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping higher extremes below 2% combined. Updated short-range runs ahead of the event will likely refine boundary-layer mixing and confirm resolution within the narrow 32–34°C window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 20?
32°C 49%
33°C 45%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
49%
33°C
45%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
33°C 45%
34°C 7%
31°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
$29 Обс.
1%
30°C
$34 Обс.
1%
31°C
$214 Обс.
3%
32°C
$285 Обс.
49%
33°C
$323 Обс.
45%
34°C
$147 Обс.
7%
35°C
$50 Обс.
1%
36°C
$29 Обс.
1%
37°C
$29 Обс.
1%
38°C
$34 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$196 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of strong solar insolation, clear skies, and light westerly flow moderated by coastal sea breezes. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 33°C at 53% implied probability, with 32°C at 26%, reflecting traders’ assessment of small daytime heating variations that could push the daily maximum across the threshold. No significant atmospheric shifts, such as Saharan dust intrusions or frontal passages, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping higher extremes below 2% combined. Updated short-range runs ahead of the event will likely refine boundary-layer mixing and confirm resolution within the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,056Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of strong solar insolation, clear skies, and light westerly flow moderated by coastal sea breezes. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 33°C at 53% implied probability, with 32°C at 26%, reflecting traders’ assessment of small daytime heating variations that could push the daily maximum across the threshold. No significant atmospheric shifts, such as Saharan dust intrusions or frontal passages, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping higher extremes below 2% combined. Updated short-range runs ahead of the event will likely refine boundary-layer mixing and confirm resolution within the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,056Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of strong solar insolation, clear skies, and light westerly flow moderated by coastal sea breezes. This consensus underpins the market’s concentration on 33°C at 53% implied probability, with 32°C at 26%, reflecting traders’ assessment of small daytime heating variations that could push the daily maximum across the threshold. No significant atmospheric shifts, such as Saharan dust intrusions or frontal passages, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping higher extremes below 2% combined. Updated short-range runs ahead of the event will likely refine boundary-layer mixing and confirm resolution within the narrow 32–34°C window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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