**Recent forecasts from multiple models position 32–33°C as the most likely range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Current guidance from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service, GFS, and European models shows daytime highs of 31–34°C under stable high pressure, with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected through the weekend. This pattern reflects typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, where land-sea temperature contrasts and subsidence limit extreme heating while sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide modest moisture and thermal moderation. Slight model spread exists around peak values—some runs reach 34°C amid brief southerly flow, while others cap near 31°C with stronger onshore winds—but no major synoptic shift or heat-wave setup appears imminent before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 32–33°C band as the consensus outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the short time horizon and consistent short-range guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
33°C 55%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
55%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$144 Обс.
1%
30°C
$5 Обс.
2%
31°C
$169 Обс.
3%
32°C
$456 Обс.
27%
33°C
$451 Обс.
55%
34°C
$413 Обс.
14%
35°C
$189 Обс.
3%
36°C
$89 Обс.
1%
37°C
$93 Обс.
1%
38°C
$114 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$137 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models position 32–33°C as the most likely range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.**
Current guidance from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service, GFS, and European models shows daytime highs of 31–34°C under stable high pressure, with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected through the weekend. This pattern reflects typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, where land-sea temperature contrasts and subsidence limit extreme heating while sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide modest moisture and thermal moderation.
Slight model spread exists around peak values—some runs reach 34°C amid brief southerly flow, while others cap near 31°C with stronger onshore winds—but no major synoptic shift or heat-wave setup appears imminent before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 32–33°C band as the consensus outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the short time horizon and consistent short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,261Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models position 32–33°C as the most likely range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.**
Current guidance from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service, GFS, and European models shows daytime highs of 31–34°C under stable high pressure, with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected through the weekend. This pattern reflects typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, where land-sea temperature contrasts and subsidence limit extreme heating while sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide modest moisture and thermal moderation.
Slight model spread exists around peak values—some runs reach 34°C amid brief southerly flow, while others cap near 31°C with stronger onshore winds—but no major synoptic shift or heat-wave setup appears imminent before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 32–33°C band as the consensus outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the short time horizon and consistent short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,261Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple models position 32–33°C as the most likely range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Current guidance from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service, GFS, and European models shows daytime highs of 31–34°C under stable high pressure, with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected through the weekend. This pattern reflects typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, where land-sea temperature contrasts and subsidence limit extreme heating while sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide modest moisture and thermal moderation. Slight model spread exists around peak values—some runs reach 34°C amid brief southerly flow, while others cap near 31°C with stronger onshore winds—but no major synoptic shift or heat-wave setup appears imminent before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 32–33°C band as the consensus outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the short time horizon and consistent short-range guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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