Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on September 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological September averages of 16–20°C highs while current synoptic patterns show stable post-frontal air masses limiting stronger warming. Market-implied odds favor 19–21°C outcomes because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Official station observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, with traders monitoring afternoon updates for any late model revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
20°C 41%
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
18°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
24%
20°C
41%
21°C
25%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 41%
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
18°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
$10 Обс.
1%
16°C
$10 Обс.
1%
17°C
$137 Обс.
3%
18°C
$109 Обс.
6%
19°C
$308 Обс.
24%
20°C
$299 Обс.
41%
21°C
$195 Обс.
25%
22°C
$20 Обс.
5%
23°C
$18 Обс.
3%
24°C
$38 Обс.
1%
25°C or higher
$149 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on September 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological September averages of 16–20°C highs while current synoptic patterns show stable post-frontal air masses limiting stronger warming. Market-implied odds favor 19–21°C outcomes because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Official station observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, with traders monitoring afternoon updates for any late model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,293Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on September 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological September averages of 16–20°C highs while current synoptic patterns show stable post-frontal air masses limiting stronger warming. Market-implied odds favor 19–21°C outcomes because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Official station observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, with traders monitoring afternoon updates for any late model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,293Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on September 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological September averages of 16–20°C highs while current synoptic patterns show stable post-frontal air masses limiting stronger warming. Market-implied odds favor 19–21°C outcomes because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around these values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Official station observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will resolve the market, with traders monitoring afternoon updates for any late model revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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