**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 3?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 Обс.
$6,805 Обс.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 Обс.
$6,805 Обс.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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