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Політика·Проміжні семестри

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

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Політика·Проміжні семестри

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 97.0%

Destiny Scott Wells 3.6%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.0%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$14,438 Обс.

André Carson 97.0%

Destiny Scott Wells 3.6%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.0%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$14,438 Обс.

André Carson

$7,365 Обс.

97%

Destiny Scott Wells

$401 Обс.

4%

Denise Paul Hatch

$5,938 Обс.

1%

George Hornedo

$735 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 97% trader consensus to win Indiana's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, bolstered by his 18-year tenure, strong fundraising with PAC backing described as a "Robin Hood model," and an 85-point rout in the 2024 primary amid low challenger viability. Recent voter guides, Q&As, and coverage of challengers Destiny Scott Wells (former statewide nominee and Army Reserve veteran), George Hornedo (policy strategist), and Denise Paul Hatch (self-funded former constable) since early April have spotlighted anti-incumbent sentiment but yielded no polls, endorsements, or finance shifts to signal upset potential in this D+21 district. Realistic challenges hinge on a Carson scandal, Wells momentum surge, or high primary turnout, though incumbency base rates make these low-probability scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,438
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 97% trader consensus to win Indiana's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, bolstered by his 18-year tenure, strong fundraising with PAC backing described as a "Robin Hood model," and an 85-point rout in the 2024 primary amid low challenger viability. Recent voter guides, Q&As, and coverage of challengers Destiny Scott Wells (former statewide nominee and Army Reserve veteran), George Hornedo (policy strategist), and Denise Paul Hatch (self-funded former constable) since early April have spotlighted anti-incumbent sentiment but yielded no polls, endorsements, or finance shifts to signal upset potential in this D+21 district. Realistic challenges hinge on a Carson scandal, Wells momentum surge, or high primary turnout, though incumbency base rates make these low-probability scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,438
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «André Carson» з 97%, далі «Destiny Scott Wells» з 4%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $14.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — «André Carson» з 97%. Наступний — «Destiny Scott Wells» з 4%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.