Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing today are suppressing radiative cooling overnight, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a low near 21–22°C amid light northeasterly winds and high humidity above 85%. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal range under saturated conditions, though slight variations in steering flow or localized downpours could nudge the minimum a degree lower. Trader positioning favoring 19–20°C outcomes reflects emphasis on these cooling influences and recent model runs, while the slim probability for 18°C or below accounts for the low historical precedent for such readings in mid-September without stronger cold-air advection. Updated surface observations and evening model guidance will refine resolution criteria tied to the official minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 15?
16°C or below 93%
17°C 91%
20°C 48%
18°C 35%
16°C or below
93%
17°C
91%
18°C
35%
19°C
37%
20°C
48%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 93%
17°C 91%
20°C 48%
18°C 35%
16°C or below
93%
17°C
91%
18°C
35%
19°C
37%
20°C
48%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing today are suppressing radiative cooling overnight, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a low near 21–22°C amid light northeasterly winds and high humidity above 85%. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal range under saturated conditions, though slight variations in steering flow or localized downpours could nudge the minimum a degree lower. Trader positioning favoring 19–20°C outcomes reflects emphasis on these cooling influences and recent model runs, while the slim probability for 18°C or below accounts for the low historical precedent for such readings in mid-September without stronger cold-air advection. Updated surface observations and evening model guidance will refine resolution criteria tied to the official minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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