Persistent rain from the onset of Chongqing’s Huaxi autumn rain period, driven by a shear line and low-level jet stream, is the main factor keeping overnight lows near 19–20 °C on September 16. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from moderate-to-heavy precipitation limit radiational cooling, while any modest influx of cooler northerly air behind the front could push minima toward 17–18 °C. Numerical guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited spread reflecting model agreement on boundary-layer moisture and weak winds; a stronger cold-air surge or clearer breaks would be needed to reach 15 °C or below. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 19–20 °C outcomes while pricing in residual uncertainty from forecast timing and local topographic effects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
15°C or below 57%
19°C 45%
18°C 37%
22°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
15°C or below
57%
16°C
29%
17°C
32%
18°C
37%
19°C
45%
20°C
34%
21°C
21%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
37%
25°C or higher
1%
15°C or below 57%
19°C 45%
18°C 37%
22°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
57%
16°C
$0 Обс.
29%
17°C
$0 Обс.
32%
18°C
$0 Обс.
37%
19°C
$21 Обс.
45%
20°C
$1 Обс.
34%
21°C
$47 Обс.
21%
22°C
$0 Обс.
37%
23°C
$0 Обс.
37%
24°C
$0 Обс.
37%
25°C or higher
$220 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain from the onset of Chongqing’s Huaxi autumn rain period, driven by a shear line and low-level jet stream, is the main factor keeping overnight lows near 19–20 °C on September 16. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from moderate-to-heavy precipitation limit radiational cooling, while any modest influx of cooler northerly air behind the front could push minima toward 17–18 °C. Numerical guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited spread reflecting model agreement on boundary-layer moisture and weak winds; a stronger cold-air surge or clearer breaks would be needed to reach 15 °C or below. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 19–20 °C outcomes while pricing in residual uncertainty from forecast timing and local topographic effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$289Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain from the onset of Chongqing’s Huaxi autumn rain period, driven by a shear line and low-level jet stream, is the main factor keeping overnight lows near 19–20 °C on September 16. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from moderate-to-heavy precipitation limit radiational cooling, while any modest influx of cooler northerly air behind the front could push minima toward 17–18 °C. Numerical guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited spread reflecting model agreement on boundary-layer moisture and weak winds; a stronger cold-air surge or clearer breaks would be needed to reach 15 °C or below. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 19–20 °C outcomes while pricing in residual uncertainty from forecast timing and local topographic effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$289Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain from the onset of Chongqing’s Huaxi autumn rain period, driven by a shear line and low-level jet stream, is the main factor keeping overnight lows near 19–20 °C on September 16. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from moderate-to-heavy precipitation limit radiational cooling, while any modest influx of cooler northerly air behind the front could push minima toward 17–18 °C. Numerical guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with limited spread reflecting model agreement on boundary-layer moisture and weak winds; a stronger cold-air surge or clearer breaks would be needed to reach 15 °C or below. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 19–20 °C outcomes while pricing in residual uncertainty from forecast timing and local topographic effects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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