Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Jinan will experience clear to partly cloudy skies overnight on September 13 under a stable subtropical ridge, with light southerly to northeasterly winds of 3–6 mph promoting moderate radiational cooling from daytime highs near 30°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures around 18–19°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region where September lows average near 17°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 22°C or higher appears driven by uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and potential for slightly warmer advection, while lower-temperature bins capture downside risks from clearer conditions. Final China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station readings will refine resolution before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on September 13?
12°C or below 98%
22°C or higher 95%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C or below
98%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
21%
22°C or higher
95%
12°C or below 98%
22°C or higher 95%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C or below
98%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
21%
22°C or higher
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Jinan will experience clear to partly cloudy skies overnight on September 13 under a stable subtropical ridge, with light southerly to northeasterly winds of 3–6 mph promoting moderate radiational cooling from daytime highs near 30°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures around 18–19°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region where September lows average near 17°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 22°C or higher appears driven by uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and potential for slightly warmer advection, while lower-temperature bins capture downside risks from clearer conditions. Final China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station readings will refine resolution before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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