Latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight minimum on August 13 likely settling between 19–20 °C, splitting market-implied odds almost evenly at 36.5 % each. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge allow greater radiative cooling, yet a mild southwesterly flow and elevated dew points limit the drop, keeping the forecast tightly clustered around these values. Urban heat-island effects further moderate temperatures relative to rural sites. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a 15 % chance attached to 18 °C if thicker cloud arrives earlier than expected. Updated guidance overnight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 13?
Lowest temperature in London on August 13?
20°C 37%
19°C 36%
18°C 16%
17°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
36%
20°C
37%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 37%
19°C 36%
18°C 16%
17°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
$24 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$36 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$64 Обс.
2%
17°C
$574 Обс.
4%
18°C
$311 Обс.
16%
19°C
$385 Обс.
36%
20°C
$1,508 Обс.
37%
21°C
$235 Обс.
3%
22°C
$118 Обс.
1%
23°C
$140 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$36 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight minimum on August 13 likely settling between 19–20 °C, splitting market-implied odds almost evenly at 36.5 % each. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge allow greater radiative cooling, yet a mild southwesterly flow and elevated dew points limit the drop, keeping the forecast tightly clustered around these values. Urban heat-island effects further moderate temperatures relative to rural sites. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a 15 % chance attached to 18 °C if thicker cloud arrives earlier than expected. Updated guidance overnight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,431Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight minimum on August 13 likely settling between 19–20 °C, splitting market-implied odds almost evenly at 36.5 % each. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge allow greater radiative cooling, yet a mild southwesterly flow and elevated dew points limit the drop, keeping the forecast tightly clustered around these values. Urban heat-island effects further moderate temperatures relative to rural sites. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a 15 % chance attached to 18 °C if thicker cloud arrives earlier than expected. Updated guidance overnight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,431Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London’s overnight minimum on August 13 likely settling between 19–20 °C, splitting market-implied odds almost evenly at 36.5 % each. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge allow greater radiative cooling, yet a mild southwesterly flow and elevated dew points limit the drop, keeping the forecast tightly clustered around these values. Urban heat-island effects further moderate temperatures relative to rural sites. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a 15 % chance attached to 18 °C if thicker cloud arrives earlier than expected. Updated guidance overnight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded low before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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