Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 13°C on August 31 as showers clear and westerly winds moderate, allowing partial radiative cooling overnight. Breezy southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover expected through Monday night will limit extreme drops while keeping temperatures close to late-August normals of 12–15°C. Model differences in the timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and dew-point forecasts that determine how far surface temperatures fall after sunset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 31?
Lowest temperature in London on August 31?
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
13°C 16%
20°C or higher 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
16%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
13°C 16%
20°C or higher 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
11°C
$30 Обс.
13%
12°C
$30 Обс.
15%
13°C
$30 Обс.
16%
14°C
$32 Обс.
15%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$182 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
14%
18°C
$50 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 13°C on August 31 as showers clear and westerly winds moderate, allowing partial radiative cooling overnight. Breezy southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover expected through Monday night will limit extreme drops while keeping temperatures close to late-August normals of 12–15°C. Model differences in the timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and dew-point forecasts that determine how far surface temperatures fall after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$354Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 13°C on August 31 as showers clear and westerly winds moderate, allowing partial radiative cooling overnight. Breezy southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover expected through Monday night will limit extreme drops while keeping temperatures close to late-August normals of 12–15°C. Model differences in the timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and dew-point forecasts that determine how far surface temperatures fall after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$354Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 13°C on August 31 as showers clear and westerly winds moderate, allowing partial radiative cooling overnight. Breezy southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover expected through Monday night will limit extreme drops while keeping temperatures close to late-August normals of 12–15°C. Model differences in the timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, with traders weighting ensemble spreads and dew-point forecasts that determine how far surface temperatures fall after sunset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання