Recent forecast models from agencies like the India Meteorological Department point to nighttime lows near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16 amid a weakening monsoon trough and moderate humidity levels around 80-85%. Differentiating the closely matched market outcomes hinges on variables such as cloud cover, which traps heat and limits radiative cooling, versus clearer intervals that could allow temperatures to dip further; light winds and potential isolated showers also modulate overnight minima. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 25-27°C, but short-term model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact thresholds, with traders weighing the latest observational updates from local stations against ensemble predictions for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
20°C or below 99%
30°C or higher 98%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
99%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
27%
26°C
21%
27°C
25%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
98%
20°C or below 99%
30°C or higher 98%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
99%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
27%
26°C
21%
27°C
25%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the India Meteorological Department point to nighttime lows near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16 amid a weakening monsoon trough and moderate humidity levels around 80-85%. Differentiating the closely matched market outcomes hinges on variables such as cloud cover, which traps heat and limits radiative cooling, versus clearer intervals that could allow temperatures to dip further; light winds and potential isolated showers also modulate overnight minima. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 25-27°C, but short-term model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact thresholds, with traders weighing the latest observational updates from local stations against ensemble predictions for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання