Ongoing monsoon rains and persistent cloud cover in Lucknow are anchoring market-implied odds tightly around 25–26°C for the September 2 minimum, with IMD forecasts and multiple models projecting overnight lows near 25°C under high humidity (85–95%) and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and overcast skies suppress temperature drops below this range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 24–26°C, while any brief clearing could allow slight further cooling toward 24°C. Traders weigh these factors against the timing of official observations at Amausi airport, where recent heavy precipitation has maintained elevated dew points near 24–25°C. Updated IMD briefings and hourly data releases through the evening remain key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 2?
25°C 50%
22°C 46%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
46%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
50%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
22°C 46%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
46%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
50%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing monsoon rains and persistent cloud cover in Lucknow are anchoring market-implied odds tightly around 25–26°C for the September 2 minimum, with IMD forecasts and multiple models projecting overnight lows near 25°C under high humidity (85–95%) and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and overcast skies suppress temperature drops below this range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 24–26°C, while any brief clearing could allow slight further cooling toward 24°C. Traders weigh these factors against the timing of official observations at Amausi airport, where recent heavy precipitation has maintained elevated dew points near 24–25°C. Updated IMD briefings and hourly data releases through the evening remain key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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