Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, have maintained elevated humidity and cloud cover that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near 24–26°C according to India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models. Persistent overcast conditions and scattered showers through September 4 suppress typical diurnal ranges, with historical early-September baselines around 25°C further supporting trader consensus on mid-20s outcomes. Model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that equalizes implied probabilities across 23–28°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or intense cooling events. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs ahead of the date will provide key data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
23°C 88%
25°C 88%
26°C 88%
27°C 88%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
17%
23°C
88%
24°C
86%
25°C
88%
26°C
88%
27°C
88%
28°C
88%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
69%
23°C 88%
25°C 88%
26°C 88%
27°C 88%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
69%
22°C
$0 Обс.
17%
23°C
$0 Обс.
88%
24°C
$0 Обс.
86%
25°C
$0 Обс.
88%
26°C
$0 Обс.
88%
27°C
$0 Обс.
88%
28°C
$0 Обс.
88%
29°C
$0 Обс.
8%
30°C
$0 Обс.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, have maintained elevated humidity and cloud cover that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near 24–26°C according to India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models. Persistent overcast conditions and scattered showers through September 4 suppress typical diurnal ranges, with historical early-September baselines around 25°C further supporting trader consensus on mid-20s outcomes. Model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that equalizes implied probabilities across 23–28°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or intense cooling events. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs ahead of the date will provide key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, have maintained elevated humidity and cloud cover that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near 24–26°C according to India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models. Persistent overcast conditions and scattered showers through September 4 suppress typical diurnal ranges, with historical early-September baselines around 25°C further supporting trader consensus on mid-20s outcomes. Model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that equalizes implied probabilities across 23–28°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or intense cooling events. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs ahead of the date will provide key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, have maintained elevated humidity and cloud cover that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near 24–26°C according to India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models. Persistent overcast conditions and scattered showers through September 4 suppress typical diurnal ranges, with historical early-September baselines around 25°C further supporting trader consensus on mid-20s outcomes. Model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that equalizes implied probabilities across 23–28°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or intense cooling events. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs ahead of the date will provide key data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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