Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s September 4 maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–32 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and below-normal daytime readings have reinforced this range, with official guidance and model consensus showing limited solar heating and frequent precipitation suppressing peaks. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31 °C because it aligns with the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while the near-even split between 30 °C and 32 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Updated IMD forecasts and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
31°C 47%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
29%
31°C
47%
32°C
15%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 47%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$0 Обс.
2%
27°C
$0 Обс.
3%
28°C
$0 Обс.
4%
29°C
$2 Обс.
14%
30°C
$6 Обс.
29%
31°C
$0 Обс.
47%
32°C
$0 Обс.
15%
33°C
$0 Обс.
10%
34°C
$0 Обс.
6%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s September 4 maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–32 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and below-normal daytime readings have reinforced this range, with official guidance and model consensus showing limited solar heating and frequent precipitation suppressing peaks. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31 °C because it aligns with the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while the near-even split between 30 °C and 32 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Updated IMD forecasts and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s September 4 maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–32 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and below-normal daytime readings have reinforced this range, with official guidance and model consensus showing limited solar heating and frequent precipitation suppressing peaks. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31 °C because it aligns with the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while the near-even split between 30 °C and 32 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Updated IMD forecasts and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s September 4 maximum temperature tightly clustered around 30–32 °C. Recent heavy rainfall and below-normal daytime readings have reinforced this range, with official guidance and model consensus showing limited solar heating and frequent precipitation suppressing peaks. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31 °C because it aligns with the most probable outcome under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while the near-even split between 30 °C and 32 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Updated IMD forecasts and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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