**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 27°C as the clear favorite (65.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (18.5%), reflecting broad forecast consensus around 27–28°C.** Multiple models and official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring, project an overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, dew points near 26–27°C, and southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers or cloud cover further suppress temperature drops. Recent observations from late August show similar minima (26–28°C) under comparable moist air masses, with no approaching cold front or significant wind shift expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Market-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based range, as traders weigh the low likelihood of outliers below 25°C or above 29°C given current steering patterns and the urban heat island influence that typically keeps Shanghai nights warmer than rural analogs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
27°C 66%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
66%
28°C
16%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 66%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5 Обс.
1%
24°C
$5 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
9%
26°C
$310 Обс.
3%
27°C
$428 Обс.
66%
28°C
$871 Обс.
16%
29°C
$58 Обс.
2%
30°C
$5 Обс.
1%
31°C
$5 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$21 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 27°C as the clear favorite (65.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (18.5%), reflecting broad forecast consensus around 27–28°C.**
Multiple models and official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring, project an overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, dew points near 26–27°C, and southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers or cloud cover further suppress temperature drops. Recent observations from late August show similar minima (26–28°C) under comparable moist air masses, with no approaching cold front or significant wind shift expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Market-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based range, as traders weigh the low likelihood of outliers below 25°C or above 29°C given current steering patterns and the urban heat island influence that typically keeps Shanghai nights warmer than rural analogs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,712Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 27°C as the clear favorite (65.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (18.5%), reflecting broad forecast consensus around 27–28°C.**
Multiple models and official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring, project an overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, dew points near 26–27°C, and southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers or cloud cover further suppress temperature drops. Recent observations from late August show similar minima (26–28°C) under comparable moist air masses, with no approaching cold front or significant wind shift expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Market-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based range, as traders weigh the low likelihood of outliers below 25°C or above 29°C given current steering patterns and the urban heat island influence that typically keeps Shanghai nights warmer than rural analogs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,712Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 30 minimum temperature centers on 27°C as the clear favorite (65.5% implied probability), followed by 28°C (18.5%), reflecting broad forecast consensus around 27–28°C.** Multiple models and official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring, project an overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, dew points near 26–27°C, and southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers or cloud cover further suppress temperature drops. Recent observations from late August show similar minima (26–28°C) under comparable moist air masses, with no approaching cold front or significant wind shift expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Market-implied odds align closely with this evidence-based range, as traders weigh the low likelihood of outliers below 25°C or above 29°C given current steering patterns and the urban heat island influence that typically keeps Shanghai nights warmer than rural analogs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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