**Forecast model ensembles for Tel Aviv on August 29 project overnight lows clustered between 23–26 °C**, with the tightest market probabilities (23–26 °C bins totaling ~82 %) reflecting minor differences among GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Clear skies and light winds promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the adjacent Mediterranean Sea and urban heat retention limit further drops; typical late-August climatology places the average minimum near 24 °C. No significant synoptic shift—such as stronger advection or increased cloud cover—is indicated before resolution, so updated 00 UTC and 12 UTC model cycles plus the Israel Meteorological Service briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge implied probabilities within this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
26°C 48%
28°C or higher 39%
18°C or below 36%
25°C 28%
18°C or below
36%
19°C
4%
20°C
21%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
48%
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
39%
26°C 48%
28°C or higher 39%
18°C or below 36%
25°C 28%
18°C or below
36%
19°C
4%
20°C
21%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
48%
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model ensembles for Tel Aviv on August 29 project overnight lows clustered between 23–26 °C**, with the tightest market probabilities (23–26 °C bins totaling ~82 %) reflecting minor differences among GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Clear skies and light winds promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the adjacent Mediterranean Sea and urban heat retention limit further drops; typical late-August climatology places the average minimum near 24 °C. No significant synoptic shift—such as stronger advection or increased cloud cover—is indicated before resolution, so updated 00 UTC and 12 UTC model cycles plus the Israel Meteorological Service briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge implied probabilities within this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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