**Forecast models for Tokyo on September 14, 2026, converge on a minimum temperature of 23–25°C, directly supporting the market's tight clustering at 24°C (33%), 23°C (26%), and 25°C (26%).** Overnight lows are shaped by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer, humid air (dew points near 22–24°C) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which limits radiational cooling. Light winds and modest precipitation chances (around 20–35% in several runs) further moderate the drop, while daytime highs near 30–32°C set up a typical diurnal range. Slight model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, consistent with historical early-September variability and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency or global ensembles will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
41%
25°C
24%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$632 Обс.
2%
21°C
$81 Обс.
9%
22°C
$21 Обс.
11%
23°C
$280 Обс.
26%
24°C
$854 Обс.
41%
25°C
$1,020 Обс.
24%
26°C
$0 Обс.
6%
27°C
$48 Обс.
1%
28°C
$48 Обс.
1%
29°C
$44 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$165 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Tokyo on September 14, 2026, converge on a minimum temperature of 23–25°C, directly supporting the market's tight clustering at 24°C (33%), 23°C (26%), and 25°C (26%).**
Overnight lows are shaped by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer, humid air (dew points near 22–24°C) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which limits radiational cooling. Light winds and modest precipitation chances (around 20–35% in several runs) further moderate the drop, while daytime highs near 30–32°C set up a typical diurnal range.
Slight model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, consistent with historical early-September variability and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency or global ensembles will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,192Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Tokyo on September 14, 2026, converge on a minimum temperature of 23–25°C, directly supporting the market's tight clustering at 24°C (33%), 23°C (26%), and 25°C (26%).**
Overnight lows are shaped by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer, humid air (dew points near 22–24°C) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which limits radiational cooling. Light winds and modest precipitation chances (around 20–35% in several runs) further moderate the drop, while daytime highs near 30–32°C set up a typical diurnal range.
Slight model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, consistent with historical early-September variability and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency or global ensembles will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,192Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Tokyo on September 14, 2026, converge on a minimum temperature of 23–25°C, directly supporting the market's tight clustering at 24°C (33%), 23°C (26%), and 25°C (26%).** Overnight lows are shaped by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer, humid air (dew points near 22–24°C) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, which limits radiational cooling. Light winds and modest precipitation chances (around 20–35% in several runs) further moderate the drop, while daytime highs near 30–32°C set up a typical diurnal range. Slight model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, consistent with historical early-September variability and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency or global ensembles will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання