Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 5?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 30%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 30%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
89°F or below
$15 KL.
1%
90-91°F
$15 KL.
1%
92-93°F
$156 KL.
1%
94-95°F
$15 KL.
2%
96-97°F
$68 KL.
30%
98-99°F
$188 KL.
46%
100-101°F
$103 KL.
25%
102-103°F
$61 KL.
3%
104-105°F
$16 KL.
2%
106-107°F
$59 KL.
<1%
108°F or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$696Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$696Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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