**Current official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a high of 28–29°C in Toronto on August 5 under sunny skies with dissipating morning fog, aligning closely with the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability.** Recent model consensus and surface observations support this range, as an upper-level ridge maintains warm, stable conditions while daytime heating pushes maxima near seasonal norms for early August. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and localized heating could allow a 30°C reading (25.5%), but cooler marine influences or increased cloud cover make lower outcomes like 28°C (19.5%) less favored. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and station data that consistently bracket the daily maximum between these two values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 5?
29°C 48%
30°C 26%
28°C 20%
31°C 6%
$11,901 KL.
$11,901 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
48%
30°C
26%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 26%
28°C 20%
31°C 6%
$11,901 KL.
$11,901 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
48%
30°C
26%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a high of 28–29°C in Toronto on August 5 under sunny skies with dissipating morning fog, aligning closely with the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability.** Recent model consensus and surface observations support this range, as an upper-level ridge maintains warm, stable conditions while daytime heating pushes maxima near seasonal norms for early August. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and localized heating could allow a 30°C reading (25.5%), but cooler marine influences or increased cloud cover make lower outcomes like 28°C (19.5%) less favored. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and station data that consistently bracket the daily maximum between these two values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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