Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 5 point to a marine-layer moderated high in the mid-70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and relatively cool Pacific sea-surface temperatures that limit inland heat advection. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 76-77°F (42.5%) over 74-75°F (35.5%), as traders weigh model consensus against historical August coastal baselines near 75-78°F. Key variables include any overnight stratus burn-off timing and afternoon wind shifts that could add or subtract 1-3°F; updated NWS runs and official daily climatological reports will resolve the narrow spread before the close of trading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 5?
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 10%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 10%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 5 point to a marine-layer moderated high in the mid-70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and relatively cool Pacific sea-surface temperatures that limit inland heat advection. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 76-77°F (42.5%) over 74-75°F (35.5%), as traders weigh model consensus against historical August coastal baselines near 75-78°F. Key variables include any overnight stratus burn-off timing and afternoon wind shifts that could add or subtract 1-3°F; updated NWS runs and official daily climatological reports will resolve the narrow spread before the close of trading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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