Current forecast models from regional and global sources indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 5, reflecting typical late-winter Southern Hemisphere conditions with a cooler maritime air mass and limited daytime heating from increasing cloud cover. Historical August averages hover around 15–17°C, and recent runs show minimal day-to-day variability without strong warm advection or clear-sky periods that would push readings higher. This model consensus supports the market's heavy weighting toward 16°C at 49% implied probability, with 15–17°C outcomes together capturing over 90% of trader sentiment amid standard uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing.