Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Israel Meteorological Service position 31–32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Tel Aviv on August 18, reflecting typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions with daytime highs moderated by sea breezes. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, with minimal signals for stronger heat advection or subsidence that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 31°C, providing context for the market’s tight clustering, while short-range updates expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that ultimately determine the official high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 56%
31°C 34%
33°C 9%
30°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
56%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 34%
33°C 9%
30°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
56%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Israel Meteorological Service position 31–32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Tel Aviv on August 18, reflecting typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions with daytime highs moderated by sea breezes. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, with minimal signals for stronger heat advection or subsidence that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 31°C, providing context for the market’s tight clustering, while short-range updates expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that ultimately determine the official high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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