Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Tel Aviv for September 16, supporting afternoon highs primarily in the 31–33°C range under light northwesterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 30–32°C averages, with trader emphasis on 33°C reflecting consensus around typical insolation and minimal cloud interference rather than anomalous heat. Differentiators between 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on subtle model spreads in peak boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent unexpected warming from reduced sea breezes. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and next global model cycles will likely refine these near-term projections before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
33°C 47%
34°C 36%
35°C 29%
32°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
32%
34°C
36%
35°C
29%
36°C
16%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
5%
33°C 47%
34°C 36%
35°C 29%
32°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
30°C
$0 KL.
2%
31°C
$0 KL.
4%
32°C
$0 KL.
20%
33°C
$12 KL.
32%
34°C
$9 KL.
36%
35°C
$0 KL.
29%
36°C
$0 KL.
16%
37°C
$0 KL.
5%
38°C
$0 KL.
3%
39°C or higher
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Tel Aviv for September 16, supporting afternoon highs primarily in the 31–33°C range under light northwesterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 30–32°C averages, with trader emphasis on 33°C reflecting consensus around typical insolation and minimal cloud interference rather than anomalous heat. Differentiators between 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on subtle model spreads in peak boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent unexpected warming from reduced sea breezes. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and next global model cycles will likely refine these near-term projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Tel Aviv for September 16, supporting afternoon highs primarily in the 31–33°C range under light northwesterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 30–32°C averages, with trader emphasis on 33°C reflecting consensus around typical insolation and minimal cloud interference rather than anomalous heat. Differentiators between 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on subtle model spreads in peak boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent unexpected warming from reduced sea breezes. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and next global model cycles will likely refine these near-term projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Tel Aviv for September 16, supporting afternoon highs primarily in the 31–33°C range under light northwesterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with mid-September climatology of 30–32°C averages, with trader emphasis on 33°C reflecting consensus around typical insolation and minimal cloud interference rather than anomalous heat. Differentiators between 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on subtle model spreads in peak boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent unexpected warming from reduced sea breezes. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and next global model cycles will likely refine these near-term projections before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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