Recent numerical weather model consensus and current synoptic conditions position a maximum near 32–33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 14. Persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light northwesterly flow support strong daytime heating, with official forecasts from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicating highs of 31–32°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the typical maximum is closer to 29°C, though sea-breeze moderation and minor forecast variability introduce uncertainty around exact peak readings. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects the latest model runs and observed stability, with resolution hinging on official station data expected the following day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14?
33°C 66%
32°C 33%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
33%
33°C
66%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 33%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
33%
33°C
66%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus and current synoptic conditions position a maximum near 32–33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 14. Persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light northwesterly flow support strong daytime heating, with official forecasts from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicating highs of 31–32°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the typical maximum is closer to 29°C, though sea-breeze moderation and minor forecast variability introduce uncertainty around exact peak readings. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects the latest model runs and observed stability, with resolution hinging on official station data expected the following day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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