Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
98%
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
14°C
$0 KL.
39%
15°C
$0 KL.
39%
16°C
$0 KL.
39%
17°C
$0 KL.
40%
18°C
$0 KL.
40%
19°C
$0 KL.
40%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C
$0 KL.
39%
22°C
$0 KL.
39%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp