Recent global forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 11 will likely fall between 28–31°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C outcomes. This reflects typical September climatology, where average lows reach 27–29°C amid persistent high humidity from Red Sea moisture that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and minimal cloud cover expected overnight further limit variability, though small shifts in steering patterns or dew points could push readings toward the 25°C-or-below or 32°C+ tails. Traders appear to price in this narrow ensemble spread while recognizing the inherent uncertainty in 24-hour temperature projections for a coastal desert environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 11?
35°C or higher 56%
25°C or below 55%
30°C 53%
32°C 37%
25°C or below
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
18%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
37%
31°C
21%
32°C
37%
33°C
16%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
56%
35°C or higher 56%
25°C or below 55%
30°C 53%
32°C 37%
25°C or below
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
18%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
37%
31°C
21%
32°C
37%
33°C
16%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 11 will likely fall between 28–31°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C outcomes. This reflects typical September climatology, where average lows reach 27–29°C amid persistent high humidity from Red Sea moisture that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and minimal cloud cover expected overnight further limit variability, though small shifts in steering patterns or dew points could push readings toward the 25°C-or-below or 32°C+ tails. Traders appear to price in this narrow ensemble spread while recognizing the inherent uncertainty in 24-hour temperature projections for a coastal desert environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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