Trader consensus clusters around 14–16°C for Jinan’s September 13 minimum, reflecting tight model spread in official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles. Clear skies overnight promote strong radiative cooling, with light variable winds (under 10 km/h) limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after the daytime high near 31–33°C. Low humidity (around 40–60%) further aids cooling, while Jinan’s urban setting moderates extremes compared to rural stations. Minor differences among 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) and small revisions in cloud or wind guidance; probabilities near 50% signal genuine forecast uncertainty typical for a single-night minimum rather than a broad consensus on any single threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jinan on September 13?
14°C 100%
12°C or below 99%
15°C 99%
22°C or higher 99%
12°C or below
99%
13°C
90%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C or higher
99%
14°C 100%
12°C or below 99%
15°C 99%
22°C or higher 99%
12°C or below
99%
13°C
90%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 14–16°C for Jinan’s September 13 minimum, reflecting tight model spread in official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles. Clear skies overnight promote strong radiative cooling, with light variable winds (under 10 km/h) limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after the daytime high near 31–33°C. Low humidity (around 40–60%) further aids cooling, while Jinan’s urban setting moderates extremes compared to rural stations. Minor differences among 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) and small revisions in cloud or wind guidance; probabilities near 50% signal genuine forecast uncertainty typical for a single-night minimum rather than a broad consensus on any single threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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