Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office point to mild overnight conditions in London on August 26, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 17°C and 18°C, centers on typical late-summer patterns where urban heat retention and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands around these values. Differentiating factors include subtle shifts in high-pressure influence or Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C, alongside historical August lows averaging 14–16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official recording stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 26?
17°C 42%
18°C 32%
15°C 17%
16°C 17%
12°C or below
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
13%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
42%
18°C
32%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 42%
18°C 32%
15°C 17%
16°C 17%
12°C or below
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
13%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
42%
18°C
32%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office point to mild overnight conditions in London on August 26, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 17°C and 18°C, centers on typical late-summer patterns where urban heat retention and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands around these values. Differentiating factors include subtle shifts in high-pressure influence or Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C, alongside historical August lows averaging 14–16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official recording stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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