Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow on August 26, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light easterly winds and widespread overcast conditions reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values of 25–28 °C. Trader consensus at 27 °C (42.5 %) and 26 °C (33 %) reflects this consensus, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on model spread in rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling. Updated IMD and ECMWF runs ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
22°C or below 53%
32°C or higher 53%
24°C 49%
25°C 47%
22°C or below
53%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
47%
26°C
35%
27°C
41%
28°C
24%
29°C
47%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
53%
22°C or below 53%
32°C or higher 53%
24°C 49%
25°C 47%
22°C or below
53%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
47%
26°C
35%
27°C
41%
28°C
24%
29°C
47%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow on August 26, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light easterly winds and widespread overcast conditions reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values of 25–28 °C. Trader consensus at 27 °C (42.5 %) and 26 °C (33 %) reflects this consensus, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on model spread in rainfall timing or brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling. Updated IMD and ECMWF runs ahead of the date will likely refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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