Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in Miami on September 15 clustering near 79–81 °F, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Persistent high sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico limit radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and elevated dew points near 75–77 °F keep the boundary layer warm. Partly cloudy skies may further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs that average closer to 77 °F. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from any late-day convection or subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly greater cooling toward the mid-70s or hold readings in the low 80s. Updated model runs and the evening National Weather Service discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 15?
78-79°F 44%
80-81°F 41%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 44%
80-81°F 41%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
$6 KL.
2%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
3%
74-75°F
$38 KL.
5%
76-77°F
$216 KL.
14%
78-79°F
$163 KL.
44%
80-81°F
$155 KL.
41%
82-83°F
$169 KL.
5%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
5%
86-87°F
$5 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$475 KL.
1%
90°F or higher
$401 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in Miami on September 15 clustering near 79–81 °F, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Persistent high sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico limit radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and elevated dew points near 75–77 °F keep the boundary layer warm. Partly cloudy skies may further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs that average closer to 77 °F. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from any late-day convection or subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly greater cooling toward the mid-70s or hold readings in the low 80s. Updated model runs and the evening National Weather Service discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,603Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in Miami on September 15 clustering near 79–81 °F, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Persistent high sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico limit radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and elevated dew points near 75–77 °F keep the boundary layer warm. Partly cloudy skies may further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs that average closer to 77 °F. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from any late-day convection or subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly greater cooling toward the mid-70s or hold readings in the low 80s. Updated model runs and the evening National Weather Service discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,603Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in Miami on September 15 clustering near 79–81 °F, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Persistent high sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico limit radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and elevated dew points near 75–77 °F keep the boundary layer warm. Partly cloudy skies may further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs that average closer to 77 °F. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from any late-day convection or subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly greater cooling toward the mid-70s or hold readings in the low 80s. Updated model runs and the evening National Weather Service discussion will provide the next key data points for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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